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Storrøsten (2020 2021), in Environmental and Resource Economics and in an SSB DP, respectively, study implications of such inertia. The risk with a short-term focus is that society may lock itself into patterns with high emissions. Then, new wind installations can supply the remaining petroleum industry with power and gradually take over offshore activity and secure sustainable jobs, value added and government revenues.īoth technological and behavioural changes take time and effort. However, this strategy is more expensive in a longer perspective, both financially and socio-economically, than postponing some of the emission cuts until investments in offshore wind are operative. The analysis shows that electrification from land and gradual downsizing of the business result in medium-term emission reductions. (2021), an SSB DP submitted to Energy Policy, studies emission reductions in the Norwegian offshore industry. 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